Submission Date

5-4-2026

Document Type

Paper

Department

Politics

Adviser

Johannes Karreth

Committee Member

Rebecca Evans

Committee Member

Johannes Karreth

Committee Member

Patrick Hurley

Department Chair

Ann Karreth

Project Description

The European Union’s implementation of the CBAM is a climate change-driven initiative aimed at preventing carbon leakages. This thesis aims to investigate the underlying reasons for the variation in preparedness to comply with CBAM. Exposure to CBAM-covered Extra-EU imports serves as a proxy for preparedness, a measure of the economic constraints EU countries face. The research employs a mixed-methods approach, including Regression Analysis, Bayesian model averaging, and comparative case studies of EU countries. The results show a strong association between preparedness levels and institutional factors, particularly regulatory capacity. In contrast, political, financial, and geographical factors exhibit limited influence on a state’s preparedness level. The findings highlight the critical role of domestic regulatory capacity in shaping conditions for compliance, thereby strengthening collective action. The effectiveness of the CBAM will shape the trajectory of the EU’s primary objective to achieve decarbonization by 2050 as outlined by the European Green Deal.

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